<table class="texreg" style="margin: 10px auto;border-collapse: collapse;border-spacing: 0px;caption-side: bottom;color: #000000;border-top: 2px solid #000000;">
<caption>Statistical models</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</th>
<th style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Model 3</th>
<th style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Model 4</th>
<th style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Model 5</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="border-top: 1px solid #000000;">
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Intercept</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-1.23</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-2.82</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-11.94<sup>&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(2.48)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(4.28)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(5.49)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Mean years of schooling</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.08</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.03</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.03</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.06)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.10)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.12)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">GNIpc (region, log)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.34</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.12</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.43</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.22)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.40)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.50)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Agreement in UNGA voting</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.01</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.47</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.15)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.33)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.39)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Political ideology</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.21<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.45<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.20<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.02)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.03)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.04)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Relative trade ties</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.22<sup>&#42;</sup></td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.13</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.09)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.16)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.14)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Age</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.00</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.02<sup>&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.00)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.01)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.01)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Primary education</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.25</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-1.83</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(1.69)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(2.60)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(3.46)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Secundary education</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.72</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-1.61</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-1.15</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(1.65)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(2.51)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(3.36)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Tertiary education</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.88</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.48</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(1.64)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(2.49)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(3.34)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Income (1000-4000 USD)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.22</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.10</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.99</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.39)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.64)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.85)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Income (4000-7000 USD)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.02</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.04</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.35</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.40)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.66)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.87)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Income (7000-10000 USD)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.06</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.34</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">2.13<sup>&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.42)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.70)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.91)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Income > 10000 USD)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.19</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.34</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">2.34<sup>&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.42)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.70)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.91)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Government</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.32<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.58<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-0.92<sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">&nbsp;</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.09)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.16)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">(0.19)</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-top: 1px solid #000000;">
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">AIC</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">6100.93</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">5762.60</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">8404.97</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">BIC</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">6202.77</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">5859.64</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">8507.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Log Likelihood</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-3031.46</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-2862.30</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">-4183.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Num. obs.</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1572</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1221</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1587</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Num. groups: district</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">378</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">323</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">372</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Num. groups: country_year</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">30</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">23</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">30</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Var: district (Intercept)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.00</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.02</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.03</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Var: country_year (Intercept)</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.19</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">0.72</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">1.42</td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: 2px solid #000000;">
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">Var: Residual</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">2.65</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">6.09</td>
<td style="padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;">10.95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td style="font-size: 0.8em;" colspan="4"><sup>&#42;&#42;&#42;</sup>p &lt; 0.001; <sup>&#42;&#42;</sup>p &lt; 0.01; <sup>&#42;</sup>p &lt; 0.05</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
